Certainty

Bayes'_Theorem_MMB_01

Bayes’ Theorem. Image © mattbuck

 

In no affairs of mere prejudice, pro or con, do we deduce inferences with entire certainty, even from the most simple data.

Edgar Allen Poe — The Narrative of Arthur Gordon Pym of Nantucket

…In other words, cavēte theorema Bayes, as explained by John Horgan.

#John Horgan#Pierre-Simon Laplace#probability#Thomas Bayes

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