January 8, 2016

Certainty

Bayes’ Theorem. Image © mattbuck

In no affairs of mere prejudice, pro or con, do we deduce inferences with entire certainty, even from the most simple data.

Edgar Allen Poe — The Narrative of Arthur Gordon Pym of Nantucket

…In other words, cavēte theorema Bayes, as explained by John Horgan.

#John Horgan#Pierre-Simon Laplace#probability#Thomas Bayes