January 8, 2016
Certainty

Bayes’ Theorem. Image © mattbuck
In no affairs of mere prejudice, pro or con, do we deduce inferences with entire certainty, even from the most simple data.
Edgar Allen Poe — The Narrative of Arthur Gordon Pym of Nantucket
…In other words, cavēte theorema Bayes, as explained by John Horgan.
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