January 8, 2016

Certainty

Bayes'_Theorem_MMB_01

Bayes’ Theorem. Image © mattbuck

 

In no affairs of mere prejudice, pro or con, do we deduce inferences with entire certainty, even from the most simple data.

Edgar Allen Poe — The Narrative of Arthur Gordon Pym of Nantucket

…In other words, cavēte theorema Bayes, as explained by John Horgan.

#John Horgan#Pierre-Simon Laplace#probability#Thomas Bayes

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published / Required fields are marked *

To respond on your own website, enter the URL of your response which should contain a link to this post's permalink URL. Your response will then appear (possibly after moderation) on this page. Want to update or remove your response? Update or delete your post and re-enter your post's URL again. (Learn More)